Playoff Probabilities Report

Results based on the method used by Justin Kubatko to win the TrueHoop Stat Geek Smackdown in both 2007 and 2008.

Eastern Conference

  • Explanation
  • Results based on 1000 simulations of remainder of season
Eastern Conference Table
Rk Team W L OL PTS Current Remain Best Worst SRS SOS Playoffs Wild Card Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Cup
Atlantic Division
1Montreal Canadiens46.226.19.7102.1957107950.280.01100.0%87.4%8.6%4.1%
2Ottawa Senators44.427.79.998.6918105910.040.0199.1%4.3%11.7%4.8%1.8%
3Toronto Maple Leafs39.426.815.894.7878101870.10-0.0283.0%25.2%0.7%4.8%1.4%
4Boston Bruins43.332.16.693.186798860.19-0.0171.4%36.0%0.2%5.2%2.5%
5Tampa Bay Lightning40.631.69.891.183897830.020.0226.4%14.4%0.7%0.1%
                                   
6Florida Panthers35.734.611.883.17768977-0.240.01
7Buffalo Sabres34.435.012.681.37658676-0.330.03
8Detroit Red Wings33.935.312.780.67478674-0.420.04
Metropolitan Division
1Washington Capitals54.419.08.6117.411071221111.020.00100.0%87.0%87.0%28.2%18.2%
2Columbus Blue Jackets52.721.57.8113.310581191050.840.00100.0%0.1%12.9%12.9%18.5%12.0%
3Pittsburgh Penguins49.121.311.7109.810371151030.570.00100.0%2.7%0.1%0.1%16.3%8.2%
                                   
4New York Rangers48.627.85.6102.8976107970.520.01100.0%97.2%12.3%7.0%
5New York Islanders38.530.712.889.88289682-0.040.0812.1%12.1%0.3%0.1%
6Carolina Hurricanes37.329.814.989.58279682-0.140.037.8%7.8%0.3%0.2%
7Philadelphia Flyers39.034.38.786.68079280-0.240.050.2%0.2%
8New Jersey Devils29.737.614.874.16868068-0.570.09

Western Conference

  • Explanation
  • Results based on 1000 simulations of remainder of season
Western Conference Table
Rk Team W L OL PTS Current Remain Best Worst SRS SOS Playoffs Wild Card Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Cup
Central Division
1Chicago Blackhawks51.722.87.5110.910561151050.40-0.07100.0%99.2%99.1%17.1%7.9%
2Minnesota Wild47.725.78.6104.0968108960.61-0.04100.0%0.1%0.8%0.8%18.2%10.0%
3St. Louis Blues45.430.06.697.5907102900.170.0099.9%25.7%8.7%3.8%
4Nashville Predators42.028.311.795.7897101890.16-0.05100.0%74.1%10.0%4.2%
5Winnipeg Jets37.437.07.682.47758777-0.24-0.04
                                   
6Dallas Stars33.936.411.779.67378573-0.450.01
7Colorado Avalanche21.956.23.947.84355543-1.390.03
Pacific Division
1Anaheim Ducks45.125.211.7101.9957107950.18-0.05100.0%2.7%52.0%0.1%12.4%4.5%
2San Jose Sharks46.228.27.6100.1937105940.23-0.03100.0%6.2%25.5%12.5%5.8%
3Edmonton Oilers45.227.19.6100.1937105930.33-0.05100.0%7.9%21.8%13.6%5.3%
                                   
4Calgary Flames45.432.04.695.3905100900.00-0.06100.0%83.2%0.7%7.5%2.9%
5Los Angeles Kings39.135.37.785.87979179-0.07-0.020.1%0.1%
6Vancouver Canucks32.639.69.875.06968169-0.660.00
7Arizona Coyotes29.143.29.767.96357363-0.840.01
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