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Playoff Probabilities Report

Results based on the method used by Justin Kubatko to win the TrueHoop Stat Geek Smackdown in both 2007 and 2008.

Projected Standings

Glossary ▪ Explanation ▪ Results based on 1000 simulations of remainder of season
Rk Eastern Conference W L OL PTS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Cup
1 Boston Bruins 51.5 25.4 5.1 108.1 66 42 124 92 100.0% 96.9% 37.1% 31.4% 18.5%
2 New York Rangers 50.4 23.3 8.3 109.1 69 40 127 92 100.0% 74.7% 49.5% 18.5% 10.0%
3 Philadelphia Flyers 46.9 25.6 9.5 103.3 66 37 120 89 99.6% 20.0% 10.9% 13.5% 6.0%
4 Florida Panthers 39.8 27.5 14.7 94.3 59 35 112 78 79.0% 58.0% 0.2% 3.7% 1.6%
5 Pittsburgh Penguins 45.7 29.0 7.3 98.7 62 37 116 82 95.7% 4.3% 1.6% 12.7% 6.1%
6 Washington Capitals 41.7 32.5 7.7 91.2 56 35 107 74 63.0% 34.5% 0.1% 4.2% 1.5%
7 New Jersey Devils 43.5 31.7 6.8 93.8 59 35 114 77 77.4% 1.0% 0.5% 5.0% 1.4%
8 Toronto Maple Leafs 41.4 31.1 9.5 92.3 58 34 108 75 70.1% 1.5% 0.1% 5.8% 2.3%
   
9 Ottawa Senators 41.1 30.7 10.2 92.4 61 31 108 77 68.2% 1.6% 3.2% 1.1%
10 Winnipeg Jets 38.0 34.6 9.4 85.4 54 31 99 70 19.1% 5.4% 1.1% 0.6%
11 Tampa Bay Lightning 36.6 36.4 9.0 82.2 49 33 98 65 7.9% 1.9% 0.3% 0.1%
12 New York Islanders 35.7 35.2 11.1 82.5 49 34 97 66 8.8% 0.1%
13 Montreal Canadiens 34.8 34.7 12.5 82.0 47 35 97 66 8.0% 0.5%
14 Buffalo Sabres 34.7 37.3 10.0 79.4 48 31 98 63 2.2%
15 Carolina Hurricanes 32.3 37.1 12.6 77.2 47 30 93 59 1.0% 0.2%
Rk Western Conference W L OL PTS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Cup
1 Vancouver Canucks 48.6 25.3 8.1 105.3 67 38 119 88 99.5% 97.3% 21.6% 19.0% 10.7%
2 Detroit Red Wings 52.3 25.8 3.9 108.5 71 38 124 94 100.0% 64.5% 46.2% 19.5% 11.3%
3 San Jose Sharks 46.9 25.6 9.5 103.3 64 39 118 87 98.1% 87.1% 11.0% 16.0% 9.1%
4 St. Louis Blues 46.9 24.7 10.4 104.2 67 37 119 90 99.6% 25.8% 15.5% 14.8% 8.1%
5 Nashville Predators 45.8 28.7 7.4 99.1 66 33 114 81 95.3% 7.1% 4.0% 7.6% 3.6%
6 Chicago Blackhawks 43.3 28.4 10.4 96.9 65 32 115 81 89.8% 2.6% 1.5% 8.8% 3.6%
7 Los Angeles Kings 39.7 28.7 13.6 92.9 60 33 108 78 66.8% 10.1% 0.2% 5.7% 2.0%
8 Minnesota Wild 40.3 31.2 10.5 91.1 57 34 106 76 51.9% 1.7% 2.8% 0.9%
   
9 Dallas Stars 41.3 34.8 5.9 88.5 54 34 106 71 37.6% 2.1% 1.9% 0.7%
10 Calgary Flames 38.7 33.8 9.5 86.8 54 33 101 68 25.4% 0.8% 1.3% 0.4%
11 Phoenix Coyotes 37.4 33.1 11.5 86.3 52 34 101 64 20.2% 0.7% 1.7% 0.4%
12 Colorado Avalanche 39.9 36.6 5.5 85.3 54 31 99 65 13.5% 0.2% 0.6%
13 Edmonton Oilers 34.9 38.4 8.7 78.6 45 34 94 62 1.5% 0.1%
14 Anaheim Ducks 33.2 36.9 11.9 78.4 46 32 92 63 0.8% 0.2%
15 Columbus Blue Jackets 26.7 45.4 10.0 63.3 34 29 78 48