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Playoff Probabilities Report

Results based on the method used by Justin Kubatko to win the TrueHoop Stat Geek Smackdown in both 2007 and 2008.

Projected Standings

Explanation ▪ Results based on 1000 simulations of remainder of season
Rk Eastern Conference W L OL PTS Current Remain Best Worst SRS SOS Playoffs Wild Card Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Cup
Atlantic Division
1 Montreal Canadiens 50.0 22.0 10.0 110.0 110 0 110 110 0.36 -0.03 100.0% 100.0% 13.3% 6.0%
2 Tampa Bay Lightning 50.0 24.0 8.0 108.0 108 0 108 108 0.57 -0.06 100.0% 16.3% 8.7%
3 Detroit Red Wings 43.0 25.0 14.0 100.0 100 0 100 100 0.14 -0.03 100.0% 9.3% 4.1%
4 Ottawa Senators 43.0 26.0 13.0 99.0 99 0 99 99 0.25 -0.04 100.0% 100.0% 8.0% 3.8%
                                   
5 Boston Bruins 41.0 27.0 14.0 96.0 96 0 96 96 0.01 -0.01
6 Florida Panthers 38.0 29.0 15.0 91.0 91 0 91 91 -0.23 -0.02
7 Toronto Maple Leafs 30.0 44.0 8.0 68.0 68 0 68 68 -0.61 0.02
8 Buffalo Sabres 23.0 51.0 8.0 54.0 54 0 54 54 -1.33 0.05
Metropolitan Division
1 New York Rangers 53.0 22.0 7.0 113.0 113 0 113 113 0.69 -0.04 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 24.0% 13.9%
2 Washington Capitals 45.0 26.0 11.0 101.0 101 0 101 101 0.44 -0.03 100.0% 11.5% 6.5%
3 New York Islanders 47.0 28.0 7.0 101.0 101 0 101 101 0.26 -0.01 100.0% 10.2% 5.2%
4 Pittsburgh Penguins 43.0 27.0 12.0 98.0 98 0 98 98 0.12 -0.01 100.0% 100.0% 7.4% 3.1%
                                   
5 Columbus Blue Jackets 42.0 35.0 5.0 89.0 89 0 89 89 -0.16 0.01
6 Philadelphia Flyers 33.0 31.0 18.0 84.0 84 0 84 84 -0.23 0.00
7 New Jersey Devils 32.0 36.0 14.0 78.0 78 0 78 78 -0.40 0.02
8 Carolina Hurricanes 30.0 41.0 11.0 71.0 71 0 71 71 -0.44 0.02
Rk Western Conference W L OL PTS Current Remain Best Worst SRS SOS Playoffs Wild Card Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Cup
Central Division
1 St. Louis Blues 51.0 24.0 7.0 109.0 109 0 109 109 0.59 0.02 100.0% 100.0% 17.8% 8.3%
2 Nashville Predators 47.0 25.0 10.0 104.0 104 0 104 104 0.33 0.03 100.0% 12.5% 6.3%
3 Chicago Blackhawks 48.0 28.0 6.0 102.0 102 0 102 102 0.51 0.02 100.0% 15.9% 8.9%
4 Minnesota Wild 46.0 28.0 8.0 100.0 100 0 100 100 0.39 0.03 100.0% 100.0% 12.4% 6.9%
5 Winnipeg Jets 43.0 26.0 13.0 99.0 99 0 99 99 0.29 0.04 100.0% 100.0% 11.2% 4.7%
                                   
6 Dallas Stars 41.0 31.0 10.0 92.0 92 0 92 92 0.06 0.05
7 Colorado Avalanche 39.0 31.0 12.0 90.0 90 0 90 90 -0.04 0.06
Pacific Division
1 Anaheim Ducks 51.0 24.0 7.0 109.0 109 0 109 109 0.10 -0.03 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 9.2% 3.8%
2 Vancouver Canucks 48.0 29.0 5.0 101.0 101 0 101 101 0.20 -0.05 100.0% 10.1% 4.7%
3 Calgary Flames 45.0 30.0 7.0 97.0 97 0 97 97 0.26 -0.05 100.0% 10.9% 5.1%
                                   
4 Los Angeles Kings 40.0 27.0 15.0 95.0 95 0 95 95 0.16 -0.03
5 San Jose Sharks 40.0 33.0 9.0 89.0 89 0 89 89 -0.08 -0.03
6 Edmonton Oilers 24.0 44.0 14.0 62.0 62 0 62 62 -1.01 0.03
7 Arizona Coyotes 24.0 50.0 8.0 56.0 56 0 56 56 -1.20 0.04