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Playoff Probabilities Report

Results based on the method used by Justin Kubatko to win the TrueHoop Stat Geek Smackdown in both 2007 and 2008.

Projected Standings

Explanation ▪ Results based on 1000 simulations of remainder of season
Rk Eastern Conference W L OL PTS Current Remain Best Worst SRS SOS Playoffs Wild Card Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Cup
Atlantic Division
1 Boston Bruins 54.0 19.0 9.0 117.0 117 0 117 117 0.92 -0.11 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 30.4% 17.4%
2 Tampa Bay Lightning 46.0 27.0 9.0 101.0 101 0 101 101 0.25 -0.06 100.0% 13.3% 6.1%
3 Montreal Canadiens 46.0 28.0 8.0 100.0 100 0 100 100 0.08 -0.05 100.0% 10.7% 4.0%
4 Detroit Red Wings 39.0 28.0 15.0 93.0 93 0 93 93 -0.14 -0.04 100.0% 100.0% 4.3% 2.0%
                                   
5 Ottawa Senators 37.0 31.0 14.0 88.0 88 0 88 88 -0.37 -0.02
6 Toronto Maple Leafs 38.0 36.0 8.0 84.0 84 0 84 84 -0.34 -0.04
7 Florida Panthers 29.0 45.0 8.0 66.0 66 0 66 66 -0.87 0.01
8 Buffalo Sabres 21.0 51.0 10.0 52.0 52 0 52 52 -1.09 0.02
Metropolitan Division
1 Pittsburgh Penguins 51.0 24.0 7.0 109.0 109 0 109 109 0.47 -0.04 100.0% 100.0% 16.3% 8.2%
2 New York Rangers 45.0 31.0 6.0 96.0 96 0 96 96 0.26 -0.04 100.0% 11.7% 4.3%
3 Philadelphia Flyers 42.0 30.0 10.0 94.0 94 0 94 94 -0.01 -0.02 100.0% 7.3% 3.2%
4 Columbus Blue Jackets 43.0 32.0 7.0 93.0 93 0 93 93 0.16 -0.03 100.0% 100.0% 6.0% 2.2%
                                   
5 Washington Capitals 38.0 30.0 14.0 90.0 90 0 90 90 -0.08 -0.02
6 New Jersey Devils 35.0 29.0 18.0 88.0 88 0 88 88 -0.15 -0.02
7 Carolina Hurricanes 36.0 35.0 11.0 83.0 83 0 83 83 -0.29 -0.01
8 New York Islanders 34.0 37.0 11.0 79.0 79 0 79 79 -0.51 0.00
Rk Western Conference W L OL PTS Current Remain Best Worst SRS SOS Playoffs Wild Card Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Cup
Central Division
1 Colorado Avalanche 52.0 22.0 8.0 112.0 112 0 112 112 0.40 0.04 100.0% 100.0% 14.0% 7.5%
2 St. Louis Blues 52.0 23.0 7.0 111.0 111 0 111 111 0.71 0.01 100.0% 18.0% 9.3%
3 Chicago Blackhawks 46.0 21.0 15.0 107.0 107 0 107 107 0.60 0.02 100.0% 13.6% 7.5%
4 Minnesota Wild 43.0 27.0 12.0 98.0 98 0 98 98 0.07 0.05 100.0% 100.0% 5.3% 1.8%
5 Dallas Stars 40.0 31.0 11.0 91.0 91 0 91 91 0.14 0.05 100.0% 100.0% 6.0% 2.8%
                                   
6 Nashville Predators 38.0 32.0 12.0 88.0 88 0 88 88 -0.25 0.07
7 Winnipeg Jets 37.0 35.0 10.0 84.0 84 0 84 84 -0.07 0.06
Pacific Division
1 Anaheim Ducks 54.0 20.0 8.0 116.0 116 0 116 116 0.68 -0.01 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 18.1% 10.5%
2 San Jose Sharks 51.0 22.0 9.0 111.0 111 0 111 111 0.60 0.00 100.0% 14.2% 8.0%
3 Los Angeles Kings 46.0 28.0 8.0 100.0 100 0 100 100 0.40 0.01 100.0% 10.8% 5.2%
                                   
4 Phoenix Coyotes 37.0 30.0 15.0 89.0 89 0 89 89 -0.16 0.03
5 Vancouver Canucks 36.0 35.0 11.0 83.0 83 0 83 83 -0.30 0.03
6 Calgary Flames 35.0 40.0 7.0 77.0 77 0 77 77 -0.35 0.04
7 Edmonton Oilers 29.0 44.0 9.0 67.0 67 0 67 67 -0.75 0.07