Playoff Probabilities Report

Results based on the method used by Justin Kubatko to win the TrueHoop Stat Geek Smackdown in both 2007 and 2008.

Eastern Conference

  • Explanation
  • Results based on 1000 simulations of remainder of season
Eastern Conference Table
Rk Team W L OL PTS Current Remain Best Worst SRS SOS Playoffs Wild Card Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Cup
Atlantic Division
1Montreal Canadiens47.026.09.0103.010301031030.31-0.01100.0%100.0%10.5%5.1%
2Ottawa Senators44.028.010.098.09809898-0.010.01100.0%5.6%2.3%
3Boston Bruins44.031.07.095.095095950.270.00100.0%7.8%3.6%
4Toronto Maple Leafs40.027.015.095.095095950.110.00100.0%100.0%6.3%2.8%
5Tampa Bay Lightning42.030.010.094.094094940.090.01
                                   
6Florida Panthers35.036.011.081.08108181-0.300.03
7Detroit Red Wings33.036.013.079.07907979-0.410.04
8Buffalo Sabres33.037.012.078.07807878-0.410.03
Metropolitan Division
1Washington Capitals55.019.08.0118.011801181180.990.00100.0%100.0%100.0%26.1%16.0%
2Pittsburgh Penguins50.021.011.0111.011101111110.590.01100.0%16.0%9.1%
3Columbus Blue Jackets50.024.08.0108.010801081080.680.02100.0%17.6%10.6%
                                   
4New York Rangers48.028.06.0102.010201021020.470.03100.0%100.0%10.1%4.8%
5New York Islanders41.029.012.094.094094940.030.05
6Philadelphia Flyers39.033.010.088.08808888-0.170.04
7Carolina Hurricanes36.031.015.087.08708787-0.210.05
8New Jersey Devils28.040.014.070.07007070-0.670.08

Western Conference

  • Explanation
  • Results based on 1000 simulations of remainder of season
Western Conference Table
Rk Team W L OL PTS Current Remain Best Worst SRS SOS Playoffs Wild Card Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Cup
Central Division
1Chicago Blackhawks50.023.09.0109.010901091090.32-0.06100.0%100.0%100.0%14.6%6.6%
2Minnesota Wild49.025.08.0106.010601061060.63-0.08100.0%18.2%10.4%
3St. Louis Blues46.029.07.099.099099990.17-0.04100.0%10.6%4.6%
4Nashville Predators41.029.012.094.094094940.16-0.04100.0%100.0%8.4%4.4%
5Winnipeg Jets40.035.07.087.08708787-0.11-0.03
                                   
6Dallas Stars34.037.011.079.07907979-0.48-0.01
7Colorado Avalanche22.056.04.048.04804848-1.320.05
Pacific Division
1Anaheim Ducks46.023.013.0105.010501051050.24-0.04100.0%100.0%13.2%5.6%
2Edmonton Oilers47.026.09.0103.010301031030.37-0.06100.0%14.0%6.5%
3San Jose Sharks46.029.07.099.099099990.21-0.03100.0%11.0%3.9%
                                   
4Calgary Flames45.033.04.094.094094940.02-0.04100.0%100.0%10.0%3.7%
5Los Angeles Kings39.035.08.086.08608686-0.07-0.02
6Arizona Coyotes30.042.010.070.07007070-0.760.01
7Vancouver Canucks30.043.09.069.06906969-0.730.01
Support us without the ads? Go Ad-Free.