You Are Here > Hockey-Reference.com > Frivolities > Playoff Probabilities Report

Playoff Probabilities Report

Results based on the method used by Justin Kubatko to win the TrueHoop Stat Geek Smackdown in both 2007 and 2008.

Projected Standings

Glossary ▪ Explanation ▪ Results based on 1000 simulations of remainder of season
Rk Eastern Conference W L OL PTS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Cup
1 Washington Capitals 55.0 13.0 14.0 124.0 121 3 124 124 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 42.8% 27.5%
2 New Jersey Devils 49.0 25.0 8.0 106.0 103 3 106 106 100.0% 100.0% 16.1% 7.1%
3 Buffalo Sabres 46.0 26.0 10.0 102.0 100 2 102 102 100.0% 100.0% 13.4% 5.4%
4 Pittsburgh Penguins 49.0 26.0 7.0 105.0 101 4 105 105 100.0% 11.8% 4.5%
5 Ottawa Senators 45.0 31.0 6.0 96.0 94 2 96 96 100.0% 2.8% 0.4%
6 Boston Bruins 40.0 29.0 13.0 93.0 91 2 93 93 100.0% 5.3% 1.1%
7 Philadelphia Flyers 43.0 33.0 6.0 92.0 88 4 92 92 100.0% 5.1% 2.1%
8 Montreal Canadiens 40.0 31.0 11.0 91.0 88 3 91 91 100.0% 2.7% 0.4%
   
9 New York Rangers 38.0 33.0 11.0 87.0 87 0 87 87
10 Atlanta Thrashers 35.0 34.0 13.0 83.0 83 0 83 83
11 Carolina Hurricanes 35.0 37.0 10.0 80.0 80 0 80 80
12 Tampa Bay Lightning 34.0 36.0 12.0 80.0 80 0 80 80
13 New York Islanders 34.0 37.0 11.0 79.0 79 0 79 79
14 Florida Panthers 32.0 37.0 13.0 77.0 77 0 77 77
15 Toronto Maple Leafs 30.0 38.0 14.0 74.0 74 0 74 74
Rk Western Conference W L OL PTS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Cup
1 San Jose Sharks 52.0 18.0 12.0 116.0 113 3 116 116 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 21.1% 11.2%
2 Chicago Blackhawks 53.0 21.0 8.0 114.0 112 2 114 114 100.0% 100.0% 27.0% 15.9%
3 Vancouver Canucks 50.0 26.0 6.0 106.0 103 3 106 106 100.0% 100.0% 16.8% 9.1%
4 Phoenix Coyotes 52.0 23.0 7.0 111.0 107 4 111 111 100.0% 9.3% 4.2%
5 Los Angeles Kings 47.0 25.0 10.0 104.0 101 3 104 104 100.0% 10.7% 4.5%
6 Detroit Red Wings 45.0 23.0 14.0 104.0 102 2 104 104 100.0% 6.1% 2.6%
7 Nashville Predators 48.0 28.0 6.0 102.0 100 2 102 102 100.0% 4.4% 1.9%
8 Colorado Avalanche 45.0 27.0 10.0 100.0 95 5 100 100 100.0% 4.6% 2.1%
   
9 Calgary Flames 40.0 32.0 10.0 90.0 90 0 90 90
10 St. Louis Blues 40.0 32.0 10.0 90.0 90 0 90 90
11 Anaheim Ducks 39.0 32.0 11.0 89.0 89 0 89 89
12 Dallas Stars 37.0 31.0 14.0 88.0 88 0 88 88
13 Minnesota Wild 38.0 36.0 8.0 84.0 84 0 84 84
14 Columbus Blue Jackets 32.0 35.0 15.0 79.0 79 0 79 79
15 Edmonton Oilers 27.0 47.0 8.0 62.0 62 0 62 62