Playoff Probabilities Report

Results based on the method used by Justin Kubatko to win the TrueHoop Stat Geek Smackdown in both 2007 and 2008.

Eastern Conference

  • Explanation
  • Results based on 1000 simulations of remainder of season
Eastern Conference Table
Rk Team W L OL PTS Current Remain Best Worst SRS SOS Playoffs Wild Card Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Cup
Atlantic Division
1Tampa Bay Lightning54.023.05.0113.011301131130.66-0.07100.0%100.0%100.0%22.8%11.8%
2Boston Bruins50.020.012.0112.011201121120.62-0.07100.0%18.2%9.5%
3Toronto Maple Leafs49.026.07.0105.010501051050.49-0.06100.0%15.0%6.8%
4Florida Panthers44.030.08.096.09609696-0.01-0.04
5Detroit Red Wings30.039.013.073.07307373-0.48-0.01
                                   
6Montreal Canadiens29.040.013.071.07107171-0.680.00
7Ottawa Senators28.043.011.067.06706767-0.850.00
8Buffalo Sabres25.045.012.062.06206262-0.980.01
Metropolitan Division
1Washington Capitals49.026.07.0105.010501051050.21-0.04100.0%100.0%11.8%6.1%
2Pittsburgh Penguins47.029.06.0100.010001001000.23-0.04100.0%9.4%3.8%
3Philadelphia Flyers42.026.014.098.098098980.07-0.03100.0%7.3%3.2%
                                   
4Columbus Blue Jackets45.030.07.097.097097970.11-0.04100.0%100.0%8.7%3.3%
5New Jersey Devils44.029.09.097.097097970.02-0.03100.0%100.0%6.8%2.7%
6Carolina Hurricanes36.035.011.083.08308383-0.35-0.01
7New York Islanders35.037.010.080.08008080-0.40-0.01
8New York Rangers34.039.09.077.07707777-0.46-0.01

Western Conference

  • Explanation
  • Results based on 1000 simulations of remainder of season
Western Conference Table
Rk Team W L OL PTS Current Remain Best Worst SRS SOS Playoffs Wild Card Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Cup
Central Division
1Nashville Predators53.018.011.0117.011701171170.710.03100.0%100.0%100.0%18.4%10.2%
2Winnipeg Jets52.020.010.0114.011401141140.740.02100.0%19.5%12.2%
3Minnesota Wild45.026.011.0101.010101011010.290.04100.0%11.4%5.6%
4Colorado Avalanche43.030.09.095.095095950.280.04100.0%100.0%8.0%3.9%
5St. Louis Blues44.032.06.094.094094940.100.05
                                   
6Dallas Stars42.032.08.092.092092920.170.04
7Chicago Blackhawks33.039.010.076.07607676-0.260.07
Pacific Division
1Vegas Golden Knights51.024.07.0109.010901091090.52-0.01100.0%100.0%15.6%8.4%
2Anaheim Ducks44.025.013.0101.010101011010.240.01100.0%9.2%4.0%
3San Jose Sharks45.027.010.0100.010001001000.280.00100.0%8.6%3.9%
                                   
4Los Angeles Kings45.029.08.098.098098980.440.00100.0%100.0%9.3%4.6%
5Calgary Flames37.035.010.084.08408484-0.330.03
6Edmonton Oilers36.040.06.078.07807878-0.320.03
7Vancouver Canucks31.040.011.073.07307373-0.510.05
8Arizona Coyotes29.041.012.070.07007070-0.530.05
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