Playoff Probabilities Report

Results based on the method used by Justin Kubatko to win the TrueHoop Stat Geek Smackdown in both 2007 and 2008.

Eastern Conference

  • Explanation
  • Results based on 1000 simulations of remainder of season
Eastern Conference Table
Rk Team W L OL PTS Current Remain Best Worst SRS SOS Playoffs Wild Card Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Cup
Atlantic Division
1Tampa Bay Lightning53.423.75.0111.78527123990.84-0.06100.0%62.7%62.4%27.1%14.1%
2Boston Bruins49.622.110.4109.58227123950.74-0.10100.0%32.2%32.2%18.8%9.1%
3Toronto Maple Leafs48.626.57.0104.18123116930.49-0.05100.0%0.1%5.1%5.1%14.2%7.4%
4Florida Panthers38.634.98.585.7602610173-0.320.0123.8%23.7%1.0%0.2%
5Detroit Red Wings34.035.312.880.758239468-0.37-0.021.8%1.8%0.3%0.1%
                                   
6Montreal Canadiens32.538.610.975.854229061-0.63-0.040.1%0.1%
7Ottawa Senators30.438.712.973.852229162-0.770.030.1%0.1%
8Buffalo Sabres26.741.513.867.147207954-0.91-0.02
Metropolitan Division
1Pittsburgh Penguins46.829.16.199.77624111850.31-0.0299.6%6.9%43.7%0.1%12.7%5.1%
2Washington Capitals44.727.99.498.87524111840.07-0.0398.6%10.5%30.3%0.2%8.8%3.7%
3Philadelphia Flyers42.627.012.497.67424110840.07-0.0697.6%17.5%23.5%8.4%4.6%
                                   
4New Jersey Devils41.030.510.592.5702210579-0.15-0.0878.5%50.3%2.3%5.0%1.6%
5Columbus Blue Jackets40.334.27.488.1652310176-0.22-0.0339.1%33.9%0.1%1.5%0.6%
6New York Islanders38.833.99.386.965229875-0.260.0133.1%30.0%1.4%0.8%
7Carolina Hurricanes36.932.612.586.364229970-0.380.0026.0%23.4%0.1%0.8%0.2%
8New York Rangers36.138.47.579.759219166-0.38-0.011.7%1.7%

Western Conference

  • Explanation
  • Results based on 1000 simulations of remainder of season
Western Conference Table
Rk Team W L OL PTS Current Remain Best Worst SRS SOS Playoffs Wild Card Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Cup
Central Division
1Nashville Predators49.121.611.3109.58327121970.650.0399.9%1.5%66.1%27.5%18.5%11.1%
2Winnipeg Jets47.423.411.2106.08125119890.690.0099.2%6.9%30.8%8.0%16.7%8.7%
3Minnesota Wild44.827.89.499.07524114830.260.0483.6%36.5%2.2%0.3%8.8%3.9%
4Dallas Stars45.929.86.398.27424110820.360.0079.3%41.3%0.8%0.1%9.7%4.7%
5St. Louis Blues44.231.56.394.77223108800.240.0349.6%36.6%0.1%4.0%2.1%
                                   
6Colorado Avalanche43.031.57.593.56925108790.120.0240.1%28.9%2.9%1.5%
7Chicago Blackhawks36.834.910.383.9622297710.030.030.7%0.7%
Pacific Division
1Vegas Golden Knights53.122.86.0112.38626124970.810.01100.0%0.1%99.3%64.1%18.1%10.8%
2San Jose Sharks43.328.410.396.97423109830.09-0.0274.7%12.0%0.2%5.5%2.4%
3Los Angeles Kings44.530.37.296.27125108830.370.0069.6%10.8%0.3%8.4%4.5%
                                   
4Anaheim Ducks41.427.413.396.07323108840.060.0464.4%12.6%0.2%5.2%1.6%
5Calgary Flames40.929.811.393.1712210577-0.080.0438.8%12.0%2.2%1.2%
6Edmonton Oilers35.440.06.677.454239163-0.430.06
7Vancouver Canucks32.839.79.575.153229064-0.510.080.1%0.1%
8Arizona Coyotes26.442.712.865.744227753-0.840.11
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