Playoff Probabilities Report

Results based on the method used by Justin Kubatko to win the TrueHoop Stat Geek Smackdown in both 2007 and 2008.

Eastern Conference

  • Explanation
  • Results based on 1000 simulations of remainder of season
Eastern Conference Table
Rk Team W L OL PTS Current Remain Best Worst SRS SOS Playoffs Wild Card Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Cup
Atlantic Division
1Toronto Maple Leafs45.228.68.298.61287130731.38-0.0581.8%11.6%30.7%15.7%14.4%8.0%
2Boston Bruins44.129.48.596.6889123681.38-0.4372.0%12.8%23.5%11.1%9.9%5.4%
3Tampa Bay Lightning43.130.28.694.9689123671.49-0.0166.3%14.8%17.0%7.7%8.8%4.7%
4Montreal Canadiens42.030.49.793.6787119670.55-0.4558.4%16.5%12.3%5.9%6.0%3.5%
5Ottawa Senators41.530.99.692.6786116680.600.2753.8%14.6%9.3%3.0%6.4%3.6%
                                   
6Florida Panthers38.232.511.287.728611259-0.820.1930.4%11.6%3.9%1.2%2.9%1.1%
7Buffalo Sabres38.634.19.386.568110860-1.49-0.6625.6%10.0%3.0%0.5%1.1%0.5%
8Detroit Red Wings34.835.711.581.127910351-2.470.208.3%4.7%0.3%0.1%0.5%0.3%
Metropolitan Division
1New Jersey Devils46.327.48.3101.0893127763.670.4286.4%8.3%42.3%27.3%19.5%11.3%
2Carolina Hurricanes42.630.19.394.6986117710.580.1563.5%15.6%15.3%8.1%7.9%4.5%
3Washington Capitals42.030.59.593.6589118651.150.9557.4%13.8%13.8%7.6%5.8%3.1%
                                   
4New York Islanders41.931.38.892.7489119671.080.8353.8%15.0%10.4%4.6%5.6%3.3%
5Pittsburgh Penguins39.931.210.990.868511566-0.240.3644.0%12.6%7.5%3.2%4.4%2.5%
6Columbus Blue Jackets40.432.39.290.168410968-0.78-0.1840.6%14.4%5.1%1.6%2.9%1.3%
7Philadelphia Flyers39.633.59.088.168211863-0.97-0.4731.3%13.2%3.0%1.2%2.1%0.9%
8New York Rangers39.034.18.986.848311656-0.690.1426.4%10.5%2.6%1.2%1.8%0.7%

Western Conference

  • Explanation
  • Results based on 1000 simulations of remainder of season
Western Conference Table
Rk Team W L OL PTS Current Remain Best Worst SRS SOS Playoffs Wild Card Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Cup
Central Division
1Nashville Predators44.728.98.497.71088122721.400.2382.4%13.1%30.6%19.1%13.2%5.7%
2Chicago Blackhawks41.629.610.894.0886120690.01-0.1965.9%15.4%18.9%10.1%8.1%4.1%
3Colorado Avalanche41.330.010.793.2885116680.33-0.6763.1%15.6%16.3%9.2%7.3%3.6%
4Dallas Stars41.731.78.792.0686122680.480.4857.6%15.2%11.2%5.1%9.0%4.0%
5Winnipeg Jets41.231.09.892.378511967-0.010.1558.7%16.6%12.3%7.1%6.2%2.5%
                                   
6Minnesota Wild38.632.411.188.268211261-1.03-0.2038.4%14.8%4.8%2.4%3.0%1.5%
7St. Louis Blues38.532.511.088.048411664-0.950.0537.9%13.3%5.9%2.8%4.5%1.6%
Pacific Division
1Vancouver Canucks43.629.98.495.7888119710.990.4973.9%11.0%28.0%14.2%11.9%6.5%
2Calgary Flames42.730.88.593.9688120680.950.5566.5%13.1%21.1%9.5%9.9%4.8%
3Edmonton Oilers41.431.78.991.7488115640.091.0957.9%11.5%14.1%6.0%7.3%3.3%
                                   
4Anaheim Ducks41.131.09.992.198311452-0.69-1.1958.5%14.4%14.4%6.3%7.2%1.9%
5San Jose Sharks40.332.19.690.258511463-0.040.2950.6%14.2%10.4%4.0%5.2%2.3%
6Los Angeles Kings39.332.99.788.458311461-0.670.0039.1%12.4%7.4%2.4%3.4%1.9%
7Vegas Golden Knights38.534.49.186.268011260-1.43-0.7228.8%10.1%3.0%1.2%2.3%0.9%
8Arizona Coyotes37.235.59.283.728210860-2.09-0.6920.7%9.3%1.6%0.6%1.5%0.7%
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