Playoff Probabilities Report

Results based on the method used by Justin Kubatko to win the TrueHoop Stat Geek Smackdown in both 2007 and 2008.

Eastern Conference

  • Explanation
  • Results based on 1000 simulations of remainder of season
Eastern Conference Table
Rk Team W L OL PTS Current Remain Best Worst SRS SOS Playoffs Wild Card Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Cup
Atlantic Division
1Tampa Bay Lightning51.224.56.3108.64762131911.03-0.1399.8%4.4%64.4%57.6%22.0%13.6%
2Toronto Maple Leafs48.227.26.5103.04162124800.78-0.0595.9%13.0%25.0%21.6%16.1%8.9%
3Buffalo Sabres43.528.610.096.93859116760.140.0477.3%27.9%5.0%3.3%8.4%4.2%
4Boston Bruins42.829.49.895.43461118730.230.0971.7%31.3%3.3%2.7%7.6%3.9%
5Montreal Canadiens40.630.411.092.33359112590.070.0451.4%29.1%2.1%1.2%5.5%2.3%
                                   
6Florida Panthers36.632.812.685.8285810865-0.31-0.0215.7%12.8%0.1%1.0%0.4%
7Detroit Red Wings37.534.210.385.3305510566-0.350.0515.1%11.2%0.1%0.1%1.0%0.2%
8Ottawa Senators37.035.79.383.4295410463-0.500.0410.4%7.6%0.4%0.2%
Metropolitan Division
1Washington Capitals45.527.98.799.63763119750.54-0.0289.5%5.4%50.5%10.0%13.9%7.5%
2Columbus Blue Jackets42.631.38.193.33459111720.030.0065.1%9.5%14.6%1.2%6.3%3.7%
3Pittsburgh Penguins40.129.812.092.33062112650.310.1357.6%11.1%12.9%1.2%7.4%3.2%
                                   
4New York Islanders41.031.89.291.2316011368-0.06-0.0252.2%11.5%9.7%0.4%4.9%1.9%
5Carolina Hurricanes38.632.810.587.8305811066-0.33-0.1230.4%7.1%4.9%0.3%1.9%0.9%
6New York Rangers39.233.39.587.8315710768-0.30-0.0626.4%5.2%3.3%0.2%1.7%0.6%
7Philadelphia Flyers38.334.09.786.3275910767-0.37-0.0323.8%7.5%2.2%0.1%1.2%0.5%
8New Jersey Devils36.833.511.685.3256011363-0.330.1617.7%5.4%1.9%0.1%0.7%0.1%

Western Conference

  • Explanation
  • Results based on 1000 simulations of remainder of season
Western Conference Table
Rk Team W L OL PTS Current Remain Best Worst SRS SOS Playoffs Wild Card Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Cup
Central Division
1Colorado Avalanche45.826.010.3101.83963126770.730.0695.3%15.0%34.8%23.5%17.4%8.5%
2Nashville Predators47.128.36.5100.83962122790.650.0594.6%15.5%30.6%21.2%16.2%7.7%
3Winnipeg Jets45.228.88.098.43662120750.45-0.0888.6%23.7%19.9%12.6%13.0%6.9%
4Dallas Stars43.529.58.996.03561119720.270.0382.5%31.8%11.6%7.3%8.0%3.7%
5Minnesota Wild41.432.58.190.9325911372-0.03-0.0656.2%34.1%3.0%1.0%3.7%1.5%
                                   
6St. Louis Blues35.935.510.682.4245810357-0.44-0.0312.9%10.1%0.1%0.8%0.3%
7Chicago Blackhawks31.738.611.775.123529651-1.02-0.021.6%1.5%0.1%0.1%
Pacific Division
1Calgary Flames47.826.97.3102.94063125810.770.0096.9%2.2%72.2%30.4%18.2%9.2%
2San Jose Sharks40.730.610.892.1355711071-0.03-0.0664.4%13.2%7.8%1.2%4.9%2.0%
3Vegas Golden Knights42.133.26.790.93358108690.02-0.0757.9%11.2%6.1%0.7%5.4%2.6%
                                   
4Edmonton Oilers41.332.48.290.9325911069-0.180.0356.3%11.2%6.3%1.2%5.4%1.7%
5Anaheim Ducks38.732.011.388.7355410969-0.46-0.0140.0%12.5%3.6%0.5%2.7%1.0%
6Arizona Coyotes40.033.88.288.2286011466-0.080.0241.2%12.9%3.6%0.4%3.6%2.4%
7Vancouver Canucks36.336.59.281.8275510163-0.540.0810.6%4.5%0.4%0.6%0.3%
8Los Angeles Kings33.940.37.875.623539451-0.81-0.011.0%0.6%
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