Playoff Probabilities Report

Results based on the method used by Justin Kubatko to win the TrueHoop Stat Geek Smackdown in both 2007 and 2008.

Metropolitan Division

Explanation
Results based on 1000 simulations of remainder of season

Metropolitan Division Table
Rk	Team	W	L	OL	PTS	Current	Remain	Best	Worst	SRS	SOS	Playoffs	Division	Win Cup
1	Carolina Hurricanes	52.4	23.1	6.5	111.3	54	57	129	90	1.12	-0.13	99.8%	63.8%	10.3%
2	New York Rangers	48.6	25.0	8.4	105.6	56	50	127	88	0.45	-0.05	98.5%	18.1%	5.6%
3	Pittsburgh Penguins	47.3	25.2	9.6	104.1	53	51	122	85	0.57	-0.13	98.2%	12.8%	5.0%
4	Washington Capitals	43.9	24.7	13.4	101.3	53	48	120	81	0.48	-0.03	92.9%	5.2%	3.0%

5	Columbus Blue Jackets	39.5	36.0	6.5	85.6	37	49	104	67	-0.39	-0.01	8.2%		0.2%
6	New York Islanders	36.5	33.4	12.1	85.1	32	53	109	69	-0.47	-0.07	9.4%	0.1%	0.3%
7	New Jersey Devils	33.3	38.0	10.7	77.3	33	44	97	55	-0.72	-0.07	0.9%
8	Philadelphia Flyers	31.5	36.9	13.6	76.6	34	43	94	58	-0.83	0.07	0.2%

Central Division

Explanation
Results based on 1000 simulations of remainder of season

Central Division Table
Rk	Team	W	L	OL	PTS	Current	Remain	Best	Worst	SRS	SOS	Playoffs	Division	Win Cup
1	Colorado Avalanche	52.5	22.3	7.2	112.2	57	55	134	94	1.18	-0.04	99.8%	71.6%	13.1%
2	St. Louis Blues	47.1	25.6	9.4	103.5	51	53	123	83	0.82	0.05	96.2%	12.3%	9.0%
3	Minnesota Wild	47.7	26.3	8.0	103.4	47	56	126	82	0.66	0.00	95.5%	13.2%	8.4%
4	Nashville Predators	45.5	29.0	7.5	98.5	53	46	117	79	0.24	-0.07	85.4%	2.6%	3.5%

5	Winnipeg Jets	40.2	30.5	11.3	91.7	40	52	108	75	-0.03	0.00	45.2%	0.2%	1.0%
6	Dallas Stars	41.5	33.3	7.2	90.2	40	50	109	68	-0.13	0.09	36.0%	0.1%	0.5%
7	Chicago Blackhawks	34.2	36.3	11.4	79.9	36	44	101	56	-0.76	0.04	1.2%
8	Arizona Coyotes	27.5	44.4	10.1	65.1	24	41	84	44	-1.38	0.06

Atlantic Division

Explanation
Results based on 1000 simulations of remainder of season

Atlantic Division Table
Rk	Team	W	L	OL	PTS	Current	Remain	Best	Worst	SRS	SOS	Playoffs	Division	Win Cup
1	Florida Panthers	51.8	21.2	9.0	112.6	59	54	130	93	1.28	0.06	99.9%	57.1%	12.3%
2	Tampa Bay Lightning	49.6	23.1	9.3	108.4	59	49	124	89	0.64	0.05	99.4%	25.3%	5.8%
3	Toronto Maple Leafs	49.2	25.1	7.7	106.1	51	55	122	84	0.76	0.03	97.9%	16.0%	5.3%
4	Boston Bruins	46.4	28.6	7.0	99.8	48	52	116	80	0.36	-0.07	90.4%	1.6%	3.5%

5	Detroit Red Wings	36.7	35.0	10.3	83.7	41	43	104	64	-0.64	-0.09	4.1%
6	Ottawa Senators	34.5	39.7	7.8	76.7	24	53	94	57	-0.54	0.27	0.2%
7	Buffalo Sabres	29.8	39.6	12.6	72.2	31	41	89	55	-0.91	-0.06
8	Montreal Canadiens	25.3	44.7	12.0	62.6	22	41	83	45	-1.36	0.10

Pacific Division

Explanation
Results based on 1000 simulations of remainder of season

Pacific Division Table
Rk	Team	W	L	OL	PTS	Current	Remain	Best	Worst	SRS	SOS	Playoffs	Division	Win Cup
1	Calgary Flames	44.1	27.1	10.8	99.0	42	57	117	77	0.63	0.00	87.8%	46.7%	4.8%
2	Vegas Golden Knights	45.5	30.0	6.5	97.5	50	48	118	78	0.45	-0.04	85.3%	35.5%	5.0%
3	Los Angeles Kings	41.1	31.3	9.7	91.8	45	47	109	75	0.19	0.12	52.3%	7.0%	1.2%
4	Anaheim Ducks	39.1	31.4	11.5	89.8	45	45	104	71	0.00	0.05	38.6%	3.6%	0.9%

5	Edmonton Oilers	40.4	34.2	7.4	88.2	38	50	104	69	-0.20	-0.03	30.4%	2.4%	0.5%
6	San Jose Sharks	40.3	34.7	7.0	87.6	44	44	104	70	-0.34	-0.10	28.6%	3.7%	0.4%
7	Vancouver Canucks	39.2	34.8	8.1	86.4	39	47	104	66	-0.23	0.03	17.7%	1.1%	0.4%
8	Seattle Kraken	30.0	42.3	9.7	69.7	28	42	88	51	-0.92	-0.02