Playoff Probabilities Report
Results based on the method used by Justin Kubatko to win the TrueHoop Stat Geek Smackdown in both 2007 and 2008.
Eastern Conference
- Explanation
- Results based on 1000 simulations of remainder of season
Rk | Team | W | L | OL | PTS | Current | Remain | Best | Worst | SRS | SOS | Playoffs | Wild Card | Division | Top Seed | Win Conf | Win Cup |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Atlantic Division | |||||||||||||||||
1 | Boston Bruins | 44.0 | 14.0 | 12.0 | 100.0 | 100 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 0.74 | -0.02 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 22.5% | 13.1% | |
2 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 43.0 | 21.0 | 6.0 | 92.0 | 92 | 0 | 92 | 92 | 0.71 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 17.5% | 11.3% | |||
3 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 36.0 | 25.0 | 9.0 | 81.0 | 81 | 0 | 81 | 81 | 0.15 | -0.01 | 100.0% | 7.4% | 3.1% | |||
4 | Florida Panthers | 35.0 | 27.0 | 8.0 | 78.0 | 78 | 0 | 78 | 78 | 0.05 | 0.01 | ||||||
5 | Montreal Canadiens | 31.0 | 30.0 | 9.0 | 71.0 | 71 | 0 | 71 | 71 | -0.12 | 0.01 | ||||||
6 | Buffalo Sabres | 30.0 | 32.0 | 8.0 | 68.0 | 68 | 0 | 68 | 68 | -0.34 | -0.03 | ||||||
7 | Ottawa Senators | 25.0 | 33.0 | 12.0 | 62.0 | 62 | 0 | 62 | 62 | -0.76 | -0.02 | ||||||
8 | Detroit Red Wings | 17.0 | 48.0 | 5.0 | 39.0 | 39 | 0 | 39 | 39 | -1.70 | 0.02 | ||||||
Metropolitan Division | |||||||||||||||||
1 | Washington Capitals | 41.0 | 21.0 | 8.0 | 90.0 | 90 | 0 | 90 | 90 | 0.41 | 0.04 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 14.2% | 8.0% | ||
2 | Philadelphia Flyers | 41.0 | 22.0 | 7.0 | 89.0 | 89 | 0 | 89 | 89 | 0.52 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 13.3% | 7.4% | |||
3 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 40.0 | 24.0 | 6.0 | 86.0 | 86 | 0 | 86 | 86 | 0.39 | -0.02 | 100.0% | 9.5% | 4.5% | |||
4 | Carolina Hurricanes | 38.0 | 27.0 | 5.0 | 81.0 | 81 | 0 | 81 | 81 | 0.41 | -0.02 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 10.6% | 5.4% | ||
5 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 33.0 | 22.0 | 15.0 | 81.0 | 81 | 0 | 81 | 81 | -0.12 | -0.02 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 5.0% | 1.9% | ||
6 | New York Islanders | 35.0 | 25.0 | 10.0 | 80.0 | 80 | 0 | 80 | 80 | 0.01 | 0.02 | ||||||
7 | New York Rangers | 37.0 | 28.0 | 5.0 | 79.0 | 79 | 0 | 79 | 79 | 0.15 | -0.03 | ||||||
8 | New Jersey Devils | 28.0 | 30.0 | 12.0 | 68.0 | 68 | 0 | 68 | 68 | -0.57 | 0.02 |
Western Conference
- Explanation
- Results based on 1000 simulations of remainder of season
Rk | Team | W | L | OL | PTS | Current | Remain | Best | Worst | SRS | SOS | Playoffs | Wild Card | Division | Top Seed | Win Conf | Win Cup |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Central Division | |||||||||||||||||
1 | St. Louis Blues | 42.0 | 18.0 | 10.0 | 94.0 | 94 | 0 | 94 | 94 | 0.47 | 0.02 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 17.9% | 8.9% | |
2 | Colorado Avalanche | 42.0 | 20.0 | 8.0 | 92.0 | 92 | 0 | 92 | 92 | 0.64 | -0.02 | 100.0% | 24.3% | 13.0% | |||
3 | Dallas Stars | 37.0 | 25.0 | 8.0 | 82.0 | 82 | 0 | 82 | 82 | 0.09 | 0.05 | 100.0% | 7.7% | 3.0% | |||
4 | Winnipeg Jets | 37.0 | 27.0 | 6.0 | 80.0 | 80 | 0 | 80 | 80 | 0.17 | -0.01 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 11.7% | 4.5% | ||
5 | Nashville Predators | 35.0 | 27.0 | 8.0 | 78.0 | 78 | 0 | 78 | 78 | -0.03 | -0.01 | 53.1% | 53.1% | 4.7% | 1.3% | ||
6 | Minnesota Wild | 35.0 | 28.0 | 7.0 | 77.0 | 77 | 0 | 77 | 77 | 0.01 | 0.01 | ||||||
7 | Chicago Blackhawks | 32.0 | 30.0 | 8.0 | 72.0 | 72 | 0 | 72 | 72 | -0.05 | 0.04 | ||||||
Pacific Division | |||||||||||||||||
1 | Vegas Golden Knights | 39.0 | 23.0 | 8.0 | 86.0 | 86 | 0 | 86 | 86 | 0.21 | -0.02 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 13.5% | 6.4% | ||
2 | Edmonton Oilers | 37.0 | 24.0 | 9.0 | 83.0 | 83 | 0 | 83 | 83 | 0.09 | -0.02 | 100.0% | 11.2% | 4.5% | |||
3 | Calgary Flames | 36.0 | 27.0 | 7.0 | 79.0 | 79 | 0 | 79 | 79 | -0.08 | -0.01 | 100.0% | 6.0% | 2.4% | |||
4 | Vancouver Canucks | 36.0 | 28.0 | 6.0 | 78.0 | 78 | 0 | 78 | 78 | 0.13 | -0.03 | 46.9% | 46.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | ||
5 | Arizona Coyotes | 33.0 | 29.0 | 8.0 | 74.0 | 74 | 0 | 74 | 74 | 0.11 | 0.00 | ||||||
6 | Anaheim Ducks | 29.0 | 32.0 | 9.0 | 67.0 | 67 | 0 | 67 | 67 | -0.53 | 0.02 | ||||||
7 | Los Angeles Kings | 29.0 | 35.0 | 6.0 | 64.0 | 64 | 0 | 64 | 64 | -0.48 | 0.01 | ||||||
8 | San Jose Sharks | 29.0 | 36.0 | 5.0 | 63.0 | 63 | 0 | 63 | 63 | -0.62 | 0.01 |
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