Playoff Probabilities Report
Results based on the method used by Justin Kubatko to win the TrueHoop Stat Geek Smackdown in both 2007 and 2008.
Central Division
- Explanation
- Results based on 1000 simulations of remainder of season
| Rk | Team | W | L | OL | PTS | Current | Remain | Best | Worst | SRS | SOS | Playoffs | Division | Win Cup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carolina Hurricanes | 36.0 | 12.0 | 8.0 | 80.0 | 80 | 0 | 80 | 80 | 0.67 | -0.10 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 9.4% |
| 2 | Florida Panthers | 37.0 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 79.0 | 79 | 0 | 79 | 79 | 0.56 | -0.08 | 100.0% | 7.6% | |
| 3 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 36.0 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 75.0 | 75 | 0 | 75 | 75 | 0.53 | -0.08 | 100.0% | 5.1% | |
| 4 | Nashville Predators | 31.0 | 23.0 | 2.0 | 64.0 | 64 | 0 | 64 | 64 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 3.0% | ||
| 5 | Dallas Stars | 23.0 | 19.0 | 14.0 | 60.0 | 60 | 0 | 60 | 60 | 0.06 | -0.01 | |||
| 6 | Chicago Blackhawks | 24.0 | 25.0 | 7.0 | 55.0 | 55 | 0 | 55 | 55 | -0.39 | 0.06 | |||
| 7 | Detroit Red Wings | 19.0 | 27.0 | 10.0 | 48.0 | 48 | 0 | 48 | 48 | -0.69 | 0.10 | |||
| 8 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 18.0 | 26.0 | 12.0 | 48.0 | 48 | 0 | 48 | 48 | -0.78 | 0.11 |
North Division
- Explanation
- Results based on 1000 simulations of remainder of season
| Rk | Team | W | L | OL | PTS | Current | Remain | Best | Worst | SRS | SOS | Playoffs | Division | Win Cup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 35.0 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 77.0 | 77 | 0 | 77 | 77 | 0.60 | -0.10 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 9.1% |
| 2 | Edmonton Oilers | 35.0 | 19.0 | 2.0 | 72.0 | 72 | 0 | 72 | 72 | 0.44 | -0.08 | 100.0% | 5.2% | |
| 3 | Winnipeg Jets | 30.0 | 23.0 | 3.0 | 63.0 | 63 | 0 | 63 | 63 | 0.25 | -0.04 | 100.0% | 5.1% | |
| 4 | Montreal Canadiens | 24.0 | 21.0 | 11.0 | 59.0 | 59 | 0 | 59 | 59 | -0.14 | 0.02 | 1.6% | ||
| 5 | Calgary Flames | 26.0 | 27.0 | 3.0 | 55.0 | 55 | 0 | 55 | 55 | -0.08 | 0.01 | |||
| 6 | Ottawa Senators | 23.0 | 28.0 | 5.0 | 51.0 | 51 | 0 | 51 | 51 | -0.51 | 0.08 | |||
| 7 | Vancouver Canucks | 23.0 | 29.0 | 4.0 | 50.0 | 50 | 0 | 50 | 50 | -0.56 | 0.10 |
East Division
- Explanation
- Results based on 1000 simulations of remainder of season
| Rk | Team | W | L | OL | PTS | Current | Remain | Best | Worst | SRS | SOS | Playoffs | Division | Win Cup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 37.0 | 16.0 | 3.0 | 77.0 | 77 | 0 | 77 | 77 | 0.62 | -0.09 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 7.5% |
| 2 | Washington Capitals | 36.0 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 77.0 | 77 | 0 | 77 | 77 | 0.44 | -0.06 | 100.0% | 4.7% | |
| 3 | Boston Bruins | 33.0 | 16.0 | 7.0 | 73.0 | 73 | 0 | 73 | 73 | 0.50 | -0.07 | 100.0% | 6.1% | |
| 4 | New York Islanders | 32.0 | 17.0 | 7.0 | 71.0 | 71 | 0 | 71 | 71 | 0.44 | -0.06 | 4.4% | ||
| 5 | New York Rangers | 27.0 | 23.0 | 6.0 | 60.0 | 60 | 0 | 60 | 60 | 0.31 | -0.05 | |||
| 6 | Philadelphia Flyers | 25.0 | 23.0 | 8.0 | 58.0 | 58 | 0 | 58 | 58 | -0.59 | 0.08 | |||
| 7 | New Jersey Devils | 19.0 | 30.0 | 7.0 | 45.0 | 45 | 0 | 45 | 45 | -0.77 | 0.11 | |||
| 8 | Buffalo Sabres | 15.0 | 34.0 | 7.0 | 37.0 | 37 | 0 | 37 | 37 | -0.95 | 0.14 |
West Division
- Explanation
- Results based on 1000 simulations of remainder of season
| Rk | Team | W | L | OL | PTS | Current | Remain | Best | Worst | SRS | SOS | Playoffs | Division | Win Cup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colorado Avalanche | 39.0 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 82.0 | 82 | 0 | 82 | 82 | 1.00 | -0.14 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 14.0% |
| 2 | Vegas Golden Knights | 40.0 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 82.0 | 82 | 0 | 82 | 82 | 1.05 | -0.15 | 100.0% | 12.8% | |
| 3 | Minnesota Wild | 35.0 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 75.0 | 75 | 0 | 75 | 75 | 0.33 | -0.05 | 100.0% | 3.2% | |
| 4 | St. Louis Blues | 27.0 | 20.0 | 9.0 | 63.0 | 63 | 0 | 63 | 63 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 1.2% | ||
| 5 | Arizona Coyotes | 24.0 | 26.0 | 6.0 | 54.0 | 54 | 0 | 54 | 54 | -0.36 | 0.05 | |||
| 6 | Los Angeles Kings | 21.0 | 28.0 | 7.0 | 49.0 | 49 | 0 | 49 | 49 | -0.42 | 0.06 | |||
| 7 | San Jose Sharks | 21.0 | 28.0 | 7.0 | 49.0 | 49 | 0 | 49 | 49 | -0.75 | 0.11 | |||
| 8 | Anaheim Ducks | 17.0 | 30.0 | 9.0 | 43.0 | 43 | 0 | 43 | 43 | -0.83 | 0.12 |
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